Dec 16 2023
Saturday

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

5 rounds contest
@ Welterweight
21-3-0

Walks out:

TBA ()

broadcast start time:

US - N/A / UK - N/A

17-3-0

Contest odds

Edwards 10/13 (-130)
Covington 26/25 (+100)

Chance of winning

53.54% 46.46%

The tape

32
Age
35
6' 2" / 188 cm
Height
5' 11" / 180 cm
74" / 188 cm
Reach
72" / 183 cm
Orthodox (R)
Stance
Orthodox (R)

Full record

MD 5KO 5UD 5NC 2UD 5
Form
UD 5UD 5KO 5KO 5UD 5
21
Wins
17
7
By KO
4
33
KO%
24
3
Losses
3
0
Stopped
1
0
Draws
0
2011
Debut
2012
72
Pro rounds
63

Current rankings @ Welterweight

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FOX
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Fox Sports 1
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FX
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Fox Sports 2
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UFC 296 betting preview

Bookmakers made Leon Edwards a slight favourite against Colby Covington when they meet in their bout on Saturday 16th December 2023 at UFC 296.

He is currently 10/13 (-130) to win the bout outright, while you can get 26/25 (+100) on Colby Covington if you fancy the slight upset.

That means that oddsmakers think there is 54% chance of Edwards winning while giving Covington a 46% chance.

Edwards opened as the favourite at 4/5 (-130).

Covington opened at 1/1 (+100).

The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Welterweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 170 pounds (11.9 stones or 77.27 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.

This contest is for the UFC welterweight championship.

Full UFC 296 Odds

Main Events

Leon Edwards is currently 10/13 (-130) to beat Colby Covington, while Covington is currently 26/25 (+100) to win if you fancy the slight upset.

Alexandre Pantoja is made a favourite at 4/9 (-230) to come out the victor in a fight against Brandon Royval, while Royval is currently 17/10 (+170) to win if you fancy the upset.

Main Card

Shavkat Rakhmonov sits at 2/11 (-560) to win against Stephen Thompson, while Thompson is currently 19/5 (+380) to win if you fancy the big upset.

Paddy Pimblett is marked at 2/5 (-250) to be victorious against Tony Ferguson, while Ferguson is currently 2/1 (+200) to win if you fancy the upset.

Ian Machado Garry is currently 4/11 (-280) to defeat Vicente Luque, while Luque is currently 41/20 (+200) to win if you fancy the upset.

Prelims

Tagir Ulanbekov is made a favourite at 3/5 (-170) to beat Cody Durden, while Durden is currently 13/10 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Irene Aldana sits at 12/25 (-210) to come out the victor in a fight against Karol Rosa, while Rosa is currently 13/8 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Casey O’Neill is marked at 4/7 (-180) to win against Ariane Lipski, while Lipski is currently 13/10 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Randy Brown is currently 13/25 (-190) to be victorious against Muslim Salikhov, while Salikhov is currently 31/20 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Dustin Jacoby is made a favourite at 13/25 (-190) to defeat Alonzo Menifield, while Menifield is currently 31/20 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Cody Garbrandt sits at 11/25 (-230) to beat Brian Kelleher, while Kelleher is currently 9/5 (+180) to win if you fancy the upset.

Giga Chikadze is marked at 11/20 (-180) to come out the victor in a fight against Josh Emmett, while Emmett is currently 7/5 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Martin Buday is currently 11/20 (-180) to win against Shamil Gaziev, while Gaziev is currently 7/5 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Edwards vs Covington Head To Head

Leon Edwards steps into the octagon with a record of 21 wins, 3 loses and 0 draws, 7 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 3 by submission.

Colby Covington will make his way to the cage with a record of 17 wins, 3 loses and 0 draws, with 4 of those wins by knock out and 4 by submission.

The stats suggest Edwards has a slight advantage in power over Covington, with a 33% knock out percentage over Covington's 24%.

Leon Edwards is the younger man by 3 years, at 32 years old.

Edwards has a height advantage of 3 inches over Covington. This also extends to a 2-inch reach advantage.

Edwards is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 4 more fights, and made his debut in 2011, 8 months earlier than Covington, whose first professional fight was in 2012. He has fought 9 more professional rounds, 72 to Covington's 63.

Edwards vs Covington betting form

Edwards has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going to the judges 3 times.

In his last fight, he beat Kamaru Usman at UFC 286 on 18th March 2023 by majority decision in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at o2 Arena, London, United Kingdom.

Previous to that, he had beat Kamaru Usman at UFC 278 on 20th August 2022 by knockout in the 5th round in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, United States.

Going into that contest, he had won against Nate Diaz at UFC 263 on 12th June 2021 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at Gila River Arena, Glendale.

Before that, he had won against Belal Muhammad at UFC Vegas 21 on 13th March 2021 by unanimous decision in the 2nd round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.

He had beat Rafael dos Anjos at UFC on ESPN 4 on 20th July 2019 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at AT&T Center, San Antonio.

Covington has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going the distance twice.

In his last fight, he defeated Jorge Masvidal at UFC 272 on 5th March 2022 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.

Previous to that, he had been beaten by Kamaru Usman at UFC 268 on 6th November 2021 by unanimous decision in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at Madison Square Garden, New York City.

Going into that contest, he had defeated Tyron Woodley at UFC Vegas 11 on 19th September 2020 by knockout in the 5th round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.

Before that, he had lost to Kamaru Usman at UFC 245 on 14th December 2019 by knockout in the 5th round in their UFC Welterweight championship fight at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

He had won against Robbie Lawler at UFC on ESPN 5 on 3rd August 2019 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at Prudential Center, Newark.

Who's been more active?

In terms of recent activity, Colby Covington has been fighting more than Leon Edwards.

Leon Edwards last fought 8 months and 14 days ago, while Colby Covington's last outing was 1 year, 8 months and 27 days ago.

Edwards' last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 4 months and 12 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 10 months and 15 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 22 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 4.4 rounds on average.

Covington's last 5 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 3 months and 29 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 10 months and 12 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 25 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 5 rounds on average.

Edwards vs Covington Odds History

All Betting Markets

All UFC 296 odds

UFC 296 Odds
Fight Fight Date Fighter 1 Fighter 1 Winning Odds Fighter 2 Fighter 2 Winning Odds
Edwards vs CovingtonSaturday, 16 December 2023Leon Edwards10/13(-130)Colby Covington26/25(+100)
Pantoja vs RoyvalSaturday, 16 December 2023Alexandre Pantoja4/9(-230)Brandon Royval17/10(+170)
Rakhmonov vs ThompsonSaturday, 16 December 2023Shavkat Rakhmonov2/11(-560)Stephen Thompson19/5(+380)
Ferguson vs PimblettSaturday, 16 December 2023Tony Ferguson2/1(+200)Paddy Pimblett2/5(-250)
Luque vs GarrySaturday, 16 December 2023Vicente Luque41/20(+200)Ian Machado Garry4/11(-280)