UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Kape 2 odds

Bookmakers made Matheus Nicolau a favourite against Alex Perez when they square off in their contest on Saturday 27th April 2024 at UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez.

He is currently 8/15 (-190) to win the contest outright, while you can get 29/20 (+150) on Alex Perez if you fancy the small upset.

That means that oddsmakers think there is 62% chance of Nicolau winning while giving Perez a 38% chance.

Nicolau opened as the favourite at 57/100 (-180) however, that price has now got wider by -24/25 (+100).

Perez opened at 3/2 (+150) which has got wider by -19/20 (+110).

The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Flyweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 125 pounds (8.75 stones or 56.82 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.

Full UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez Odds

Main Events

Matheus Nicolau is currently 8/15 (-190) to beat Alex Perez, while Perez is currently 29/20 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Ryan Spann is made a favourite at 12/25 (-210) to come out the victor in a fight against Bogdan Guskov, while Guskov is currently 13/8 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Main Card

Karine Silva sits at 8/13 (-160) to win against Ariane Lipski, while Lipski is currently 5/4 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Jhonata Diniz is marked at 7/20 (-290) to be victorious against Austen Lane, while Lane is currently 11/5 (+220) to win if you fancy the upset.

Jonathan Pearce is currently 8/13 (-160) to defeat David Onama, while Onama is currently 13/10 (+130) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Uros Medic is made a favourite at 3/10 (-330) to beat Tim Means, while Means is currently 5/2 (+250) to win if you fancy the upset.

Prelims

Victor Henry sits at 6/25 (-420) to come out the victor in a fight against Rani Yahya, while Yahya is currently 16/5 (+320) to win if you fancy the big upset.

Caio Machado is marked at 41/50 (-120) to win against Don Tale Mayes, while Mayes is currently 5/6 (-120) to win if you fancy the slight upset.

Ketlen Souza is currently 7/25 (-360) to be victorious against Marnic Mann, while Mann is currently 27/10 (+270) to win if you fancy the upset.

James Llontop is made a favourite at 11/50 (-450) to defeat Chris Padilla, while Padilla is currently 17/5 (+340) to win if you fancy the big upset.

Ivana Petrovic sits at 1/5 (-500) to beat Na Liang, while Liang is currently 7/2 (+350) to win if you fancy the big upset.

Maheshate is marked at 12/25 (-210) to come out the victor in a fight against Gabriel Benitez, while Benitez is currently 13/8 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Nicolau vs Perez Head To Head

Matheus Nicolau steps into the octagon with a record of 19 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, 5 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 5 by submission.

Alex Perez will make his way to the cage with a record of 24 wins, 8 losses and 0 draws, 5 of those wins coming by knock out and 7 by submission.

The stats suggest Nicolau has a slight advantage in power over Perez, with a 26% knock out percentage over Perez's 21%.

Perez is currently 3/1 (+300) to get the knockout.

Matheus Nicolau is the younger man by 1 year, at 31 years old.

Nicolau has 1-inch reach advantage.

Nicolau is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 10 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2010, 8 months earlier than Perez, whose first professional fight was in 2011. He has fought 14 less professional rounds, 49 to Perez's 63.

If you think Perez will win on points, you can get odds of 5/1 (+500), while Nicolau is 2/1 (+200) to win on the scorecards.

Nicolau vs Perez betting form

Nicolau has beaten 4 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going to the judges 3 times.

In his last fight, he lost to Brandon Royval at UFC Fight Night – Holloway vs. Allen on 15th April 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, United States.

Previous to that, he had won against Matt Schnell at UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland on 3rd December 2022 by knockout in the 2nd round at Amway Center, Orlando.

Going into that contest, he had beaten David Dvorak at UFC Fight Night Columbus on 26th March 2022 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Nationwide Arena, Columbus.

Before that, he had defeated Tim Elliott at UFC Vegas 39 on 9th October 2021 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.

He was victorious against Manel Kape at UFC Vegas 21 on 13th March 2021 by split decision in their 3 round contest at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.

Who's been more active?

Nicolau's last 5 fights have come over a period of 3 years, 1 month and 13 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 7 months and 16 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 12 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.4 rounds on average.

Perez's last 4 fights have come over a period of 4 years, 3 months and 1 day, meaning he has been fighting on average every 1 year and 23 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 6 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 1.5 rounds on average.