UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento odds

Bookmakers made Derrick Lewis a favourite against Rodrigo Nascimento when they face off in their fight on Saturday 11th May 2024 at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento.

He is currently 4/7 (-180) to win the fight outright, while you can get 11/8 (+140) on Rodrigo Nascimento if you fancy the small upset.

That means that oddsmakers think there is 61% chance of Lewis winning while giving Nascimento a 39% chance.

Lewis opened as the favourite at 61/100 (-160) however, that price has now got wider by -24/25 (+100).

Nascimento opened at 137/100 (+140).

The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Heavyweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 265 pounds (18.55 stones or 120.45 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.

Full UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento Odds

Main Event

Derrick Lewis is currently 4/7 (-180) to beat Rodrigo Nascimento, while Nascimento is currently 11/8 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Joaquin Buckley is made a favourite at 4/6 (-150) to come out the victor in a fight against Nursulton Ruziboev, while Ruziboev is currently 6/5 (+120) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Main Card

Carlos Ulberg sits at 12/25 (-210) to win against Alonzo Menifield, while Menifield is currently 33/20 (+170) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Sean Woodson is marked at 13/25 (-190) to be victorious against Alex Caceres, while Caceres is currently 31/20 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Mateusz Rebecki is currently 4/11 (-280) to defeat Diego Ferreira, while Ferreira is currently 21/10 (+210) to win if you fancy the upset.

Robelis Despaigne is made a favourite at 11/20 (-180) to beat Waldo Cortes-Acosta, while Cortes-Acosta is currently 7/5 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Tabatha Ricci sits at 7/10 (-140) to come out the victor in a fight against Tecia Torres, while Torres is currently 23/20 (+110) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Prelims

Slava Borshchev is marked at 8/15 (-190) to win against Chase Hooper, while Hooper is currently 6/4 (+150) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Esteban Ribovics is currently 12/25 (-210) to be victorious against Terrance McKinney, while McKinney is currently 13/8 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Trey Waters is made a favourite at 4/7 (-180) to defeat Billy Goff, while Goff is currently 11/8 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Veronica Macedo sits at 7/10 (-140) to beat JJ Aldrich, while Aldrich is currently 23/20 (+110) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Jake Hadley is marked at 3/5 (-170) to come out the victor in a fight against Charles Johnson, while Johnson is currently 27/20 (+140) to win if you fancy the small upset.

Kevin Jousset is currently 11/25 (-230) to win against Jared Gooden, while Gooden is currently 9/5 (+180) to win if you fancy the upset.

Lewis vs Nascimento Head To Head

Derrick Lewis steps into the octagon with a record of 27 wins, 12 losses and 0 draws, 22 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 1 by submission.

Rodrigo Nascimento will make his way to the cage with a record of 11 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, 2 of those wins coming by knock out and 6 by submission.

The stats suggest Lewis has a massive power advantage over Nascimento, boasting a 81% knock out percentage over Nascimento's 18%.

Derrick Lewis is the older man by 8 years, at 39 years old.

Lewis has a height advantage of 1 inch over Nascimento. Despite this, Nascimento has a 1-inch reach advantage.

Lewis is the more experienced professional fighter, having had 27 more fights, and made his debut in 2010, 1 year and 11 months earlier than Nascimento, whose first professional fight was in 2012. He has fought 64 more professional rounds, 86 to Nascimento's 22.

Lewis vs Nascimento betting form

Derrick Lewis has stopped 1 of his last 5 opponents.

In his last fight, he lost to Jailton Almeida at UFC Fight Night – Almeida vs. Lewis on 4th November 2023 by unanimous decision in their 5 round contest at Ibirapuera Gymnasium, Sao Paulo, Brazil.

Previous to that, he had won against Marcos Rogerio de Lima at UFC 291 on 29th July 2023 by knockout in the 1st round at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, United States.

Going into that contest, he had been beaten by Sergey Spivac at UFC Fight Night on 4th February 2023 by submission in the 1st round at UFC Apex, Las Vegas.

Before that, he had been defeated by Sergei Pavlovich at UFC 277 on 30th July 2022 by knockout in the 1st round at Madison Square Garden, New York City.

He had lost to Tai Tuivasa at UFC 271 on 12th February 2022 by knockout in the 2nd round at Toyota Center, Houston.

Who's been more active?

Lewis' last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 2 months and 22 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 11 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 10 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2 rounds on average.

Nascimento's last 4 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 9 months and 17 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 8 months and 12 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 11 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.8 rounds on average.