Gaethje vs Makhachev

When is Gaethje vs Makhachev?

Justin Gaethje could potentially face Islam Makhachev, in Autumn/Fall 2024.

The fight would be scheduled for 5 rounds in the Lightweight division, which means the weight limit would be 155 pounds (11.1 stone or 70.3 KG).

Gaethje vs Makhachev stats

Justin Gaethje would step into the octagon with a record of 25 wins, 5 losses and 0 draws, 20 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 1 by submission.

Islam Makhachev would make his way to the cage with a record of 25 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, 5 of those wins coming by knock out and 11 by submission.

The stats suggest Gaethje would have a massive power advantage over Makhachev, boasting a 80% knock out percentage over Makhachev's 20%.

If the fight goes to the ground, their records suggest Makhachev would have a massive advantage over Gaethje, boasting a 44% submission rate over Gaethje's 4%.

Justin Gaethje is the older man by 3 years, at 35 years old.

Gaethje has a height advantage of 1 inch over Makhachev. Despite this, both fighters have equal reach.

Gaethje is currently arguably the more experienced fighter, having had 4 more fights, and made his debut in 2011, 1 year later than Makhachev, whose first professional fight was in 2010. He has fought 12 more professional rounds, 66 to Makhachev's 54.

Gaethje vs Makhachev form

Gaethje has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 1 of them, going to the judges twice.

In his last fight, he lost to Max Holloway at UFC 300 on 13th April 2024 by knockout in the 5th round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States.

Previous to that, he had won against Dustin Poirier at UFC 291 on 29th July 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City.

Going into that contest, he had beaten Rafael Fiziev at UFC 286 on 18th March 2023 by majority decision in their 3 round contest at o2 Arena, London, United Kingdom.

Before that, he had been beaten by Charles Oliveira at UFC 274 on 7th May 2022 by submission in the 1st round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Jeunesse Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

He had defeated Michael Chandler at UFC 268 on 6th November 2021 by unanimous decision in their 3 round contest at Madison Square Garden, New York City, United States.

Makhachev has won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 2opponents and going the distance 3 times.

In his last fight, he won against Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 294 on 21st October 2023 by knockout in the 1st round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

Previous to that, he had won against Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 284 on 11th February 2023 by unanimous decision in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia.

Going into that contest, he had beaten Charles Oliveira at UFC 280 on 22nd October 2022 by submission in the 2nd round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

Before that, he had defeated Bobby Green at UFC Fight Night on 26th February 2022 by knockout in the 1st round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas, United States.

He was victorious against Dan Hooker at UFC 267 on 30th October 2021 by submission in the 1st round.

Activity check

In terms of recent activity, Justin Gaethje has been fighting more than Islam Makhachev.

Justin Gaethje last fought 13 days ago, while Islam Makhachev's last outing was 6 months and 5 days ago.

Gaethje's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 5 months and 20 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 29 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 14 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.8 rounds on average.

Makhachev's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 5 months and 27 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months. In those fights, he fought a total of 10 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2 rounds on average.

What are the odds on Gaethje vs Makhachev?

Islam Makhachev is currently 1/5 (-500) to win the contest outright, while you can get 17/5 (+340) on Justin Gaethje if you fancy the big upset.