Bookmakers made Islam Makhachev a big favourite against Dustin Poirier when they square off in their contest on Saturday 1st June 2024 at UFC 302.
He is currently 1/5 (-500) to win the contest outright, while you can get 10/3 (+330) on Dustin Poirier if you fancy the big upset.
That means that oddsmakers think there is 79% chance of Makhachev winning while giving Poirier a 21% chance.
Makhachev opened as the favourite at 11/50 (-450).
Poirier opened at 7/2 (+350) which has got wider by 83/-100 (+120).
The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds in the Lightweight division, which means both fighters will have to make the weight limit of 155 pounds (10.85 stones or 70.45 KG) on the day of the weigh-in.
This contest is for the UFC lightweight championship.
Full UFC 302 Odds
Main Events
Islam Makhachev is currently 1/5 (-500) to beat Dustin Poirier, while Poirier is currently 10/3 (+330) to win if you fancy the big upset.
Sean Strickland is made a favourite at 1/2 (-200) to come out the victor in a fight against Paulo Costa, while Costa is currently 13/8 (+160) to win if you fancy the small upset.
Makhachev vs Poirier Head To Head
Islam Makhachev steps into the octagon with a record of 25 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws, 5 of those wins coming by the way of knock out and 11 by submission.
Dustin Poirier will make his way to the cage with a record of 30 wins, 8 losses and 0 draws, 15 of those wins coming by knock out and 8 by submission.
The stats suggest Poirier has a large advantage in power over Makhachev, boasting a 50% knock out percentage over Makhachev's 20%.
Islam Makhachev is the younger man by 3 years, at 32 years old.
Makhachev has a height advantage of 1 inch over Poirier. Despite this, Poirier has 3-inch reach advantage.
Makhachev is the less experienced professional fighter, having had 12 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2010, 1 year and 2 months later than Poirier, whose first professional fight was in 2009. He has fought 30 less professional rounds, 54 to Poirier's 84.
Makhachev vs Poirier betting form
Makhachev has won all 5 of his most recent fights, stopping 2 opponents and going to the judges 3 times.
In his last fight, he won against Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 294 on 21st October 2023 by knockout in the 1st round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Previous to that, he had beaten Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 284 on 11th February 2023 by unanimous decision in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Charles Oliveira at UFC 280 on 22nd October 2022 by submission in the 2nd round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Before that, he was victorious against Bobby Green at UFC Fight Night on 26th February 2022 by knockout in the 1st round at UFC APEX, Las Vegas, United States.
He had won against Dan Hooker at UFC 267 on 30th October 2021 by submission in the 1st round.
Poirier has beaten 3 of his last 5 opponents, stopping 2 of them, going the distance once.
In his last fight, he defeated Benoit Saint-Denis at UFC 299 on 9th March 2024 by knockout in the 2nd round at Kaseya Center, Miami, United States.
Previous to that, he had lost to Justin Gaethje at UFC 291 on 29th July 2023 by knockout in the 2nd round at Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City.
Going into that contest, he had defeated Michael Chandler at UFC 281 on 12th November 2022 by submission in the 3rd round at Madison Square Garden, New York City.
Before that, he had been beaten by Charles Oliveira at UFC 269 on 11th December 2021 by submission in the 3rd round in their UFC Lightweight championship fight at UFC APEX, Las Vegas.
He was victorious against Conor McGregor at UFC 264 on 10th July 2021 by knockout in the 1st round at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
Who's been more active?
In terms of recent activity, Islam Makhachev has been fighting more than Dustin Poirier.
Islam Makhachev last fought 6 months and 5 days ago, while Dustin Poirier's last outing was 1 month and 17 days ago.
Makhachev's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 5 months and 27 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months. In those fights, he fought a total of 10 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2 rounds on average.
Poirier's last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 9 months and 16 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 6 months and 23 days. In those fights, he fought a total of 11 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 2.2 rounds on average.
